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My point is that I think there is substantial evidence for the proposition that human psychology is such that this only works on a large scale when buttressed by belief (by a large fraction of the people) in the supernatural provenance of the principle.

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Gotcha. Do we have examples of this ethic existing more or less organically in a secular society and not working?

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It never arisen organically, AFAIK. The German Nazi and Soviet Communist regimes tried to impose it. I think we agree that those were not so great.

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